BFB Playoff Odds
Based on 5,000 sims of remaining season using log5 with xW%, ties broken randomly.
Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
17 24 91 107 74.5 87.5 0.0% 2.2% 7.1% 3.2% 0.504 0.501
24 20 107 96 86.9 75.1 1.4% 53.1% 76.8% 0.0% 0.495 0.485
20 24 98 105 77.6 84.4 0.0% 6.0% 15.7% 0.5% 0.498 0.488
22 21 104 96 85.4 76.6 0.5% 38.4% 67.7% 0.0% 0.494 0.487
17 27 90 115 69.7 92.3 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 13.9% 0.503 0.503
25 19 101 97 83.9 78.1 0.5% 2.2% 56.1% 0.0% 0.505 0.531
21 23 103 100 82.0 80.0 0.1% 0.8% 42.3% 0.1% 0.499 0.525
22 20 99 104 78.1 83.9 0.0% 0.2% 18.3% 0.6% 0.510 0.530
23 19 97 99 79.0 83.0 0.0% 0.2% 22.6% 0.4% 0.509 0.526
30 12 120 84 100.5 61.5 68.1% 96.6% 99.8% 0.0% 0.493 0.506
24 19 108 96 88.4 73.6 2.7% 43.0% 83.9% 0.0% 0.492 0.478
27 17 107 91 89.5 72.5 3.6% 53.9% 88.0% 0.0% 0.488 0.472
11 31 89 117 67.1 94.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 28.7% 0.494 0.497
21 23 98 109 75.9 86.1 0.0% 1.4% 9.1% 1.9% 0.498 0.486
20 25 97 105 76.5 85.5 0.0% 1.6% 11.4% 1.6% 0.497 0.482
30 13 112 88 92.8 69.2 10.2% 52.8% 94.3% 0.0% 0.503 0.496
23 19 111 90 89.0 73.0 3.2% 23.1% 80.6% 0.0% 0.499 0.510
21 22 97 102 78.4 83.6 0.0% 0.8% 14.6% 0.7% 0.503 0.514
18 26 94 108 73.3 88.7 0.0% 0.1% 2.4% 4.1% 0.511 0.536
26 16 111 93 89.2 72.8 3.2% 23.3% 82.6% 0.0% 0.498 0.494
23 19 102 100 82.4 79.6 0.2% 13.2% 37.6% 0.0% 0.502 0.500
16 28 93 111 70.1 91.9 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 12.0% 0.505 0.517
22 20 103 99 85.1 76.9 0.8% 23.0% 57.8% 0.0% 0.498 0.499
25 16 111 91 89.6 72.4 4.0% 61.8% 84.1% 0.0% 0.499 0.494
19 26 97 106 76.4 85.6 0.0% 1.9% 8.1% 1.1% 0.504 0.522
20 24 90 109 73.1 88.9 0.0% 1.3% 2.8% 5.0% 0.500 0.500
22 20 111 96 86.1 75.9 1.0% 58.2% 69.7% 0.0% 0.494 0.488
24 19 98 102 79.8 82.2 0.1% 13.1% 24.2% 0.5% 0.497 0.480
12 32 86 113 67.5 94.5 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 25.6% 0.501 0.513
21 22 101 100 82.3 79.7 0.2% 27.2% 40.4% 0.0% 0.494 0.477